I think that’s extremely likely.

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Note. February 2022 data is the latest available from Case-Shiller as I write this on April 26, 2022. The data is a 3-month moving average so what they call February is really the December-February average.

USA Inflation-Adjusted House Prices Up 9% in 12 Months

Record-Setting Price Appreciation in 6 Metros

House prices have increased more in the last 12 months than any time in the last 30+ years for these 6 metros;

  • Dallas
  • Atlanta
  • Seattle
  • Tampa
  • Denver
  • Charlotte

Prices Peak This Summer?

If this year is like last year, house prices will peak this summer. But with less upward momentum this year, I expect this summer’s peak will also be the peak for this real estate cycle.

Amount You Can Borrow in Free Fall

The amount of money you can borrow per $1000/mo mortgage payment (principal & interest) has fallen by $47,000 so far this year.

Note. You can find interactive versions of these charts here.


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